Soviet anti-alcohol poster (1929)

The risk starts at one drink a day. At two drinks a day, 1 in 25 will die of an alcohol-related cause

STUDY: George S et al, Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs 2026

STUDY TYPE: Modeling study (population-level risk estimation) with narrative review

FUNDING: Independent

Background

Alcohol is causes or contributes to over 200 health problems. Current guidelines cap intake at 2 drinks a day for men and 1 for women, guidance now under review. This study modeled lifetime alcohol-attributable death and disability risk to inform that update, using CDC mortality data.

The Study

No level of alcohol was good for health.

Death risk was:

  • 1 in 1,000 at 6-7 drinks a week for men and women
  • 1 in 100 above 8.5 drinks a week for men and women
  • 1 in 25 at 14 drinks a week

The pattern of drinking pattern also mattered, with binge episodes linked to breast cancer risk.

Here’s the breakdown by disease:

Practice Implications

While we await the US update, I’ll follow the British guidelines

  • No more than 3 drinks per week
  • Don’t drink two days in a row
  • Drink slow, and drink 3 glasses of water for with every drink
  • And I’ll add: Avoid alcohol entirely if you are over 50, have a psychiatric or medical condition that alcohol can worsen, or are taking a medication it can interact with like sedatives, benzos, and opioids.

The good news: We enjoy things more when we’re not habituated to them.

—Chris Aiken, MD
Director, Psych Partners
Editor in Chief, Carlat Psychiatry Report

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